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Mexico: Liga De Expansión MX· Estadio Morelos Kick-off

Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG prediction

MonarcasWLWLD
Fri 13 Nov 2026 xG 2.20 – 0.82
Leones Negros UDGWLWWL
Kings Odds predictionHome 2–0Large
Best tipMonarcas to win67% chance · @1.66
Goals3.0 expectedOver 2.5 57% · BTTS 55%
1 · Monarcas1.6667% chanceX · Draw3.8422% chance2 · Leones Negros UDG4.5011% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 08:15 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Monarcas to win

Good · fair odds 1.49

67%chance1.66odds6/10rating

Tips by market

ResultMonarcas to win67% · @1.66
Double chanceMonarcas or draw89% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%

Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

The Liga De Expansión MX brings Leones Negros UDG to Monarcas on Friday 13 November – Estadio Morelos hosts, kick-off 03:00 WAT. Monarcas come in 3rd with 26 points and Leones Negros UDG 2nd with 30 – one in the top four, the other in the top four.

Current form

Monarcas – last 5: WLWLD Latest result: they beat Venados FC 2–1 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Leones Negros UDG – last 5: WLWWL Latest result: they beat Durango 2–1 (home). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

Previous meeting (20 Sep 2026): Monarcas 2–0 Leones Negros UDG. Head-to-head over 2 games: Monarcas 1, Leones Negros UDG 1, draws 0 – 2.0 goals per game.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Monarcas 2.2 – 0.8 Leones Negros UDG, about 3.0 in total. An open game is on the cards – 57% for 3+ goals and 55% for both teams scoring.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Monarcas 67%, draw 22%, Leones Negros UDG 11%.
  • Double chance option: Monarcas or draw – 89% at 1.16.
  • GG/NG: yes – 55% at 1.66.

Our tip

Our pre-match tip was Monarcas to win (67% chance, priced 1.66 – longer than our fair 1.49, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Monarcas 2–0 Leones Negros UDG. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Monarcas67%fair 1.49 · @1.66
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.84
Leones Negros UDG11%fair 9.15 · @4.50
3.02Expected goals
2.20Monarcas xG
0.82Leones Negros UDG xG
55%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Monarcas 2.2 – 0.8 Leones Negros UDG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonarcas to win67%1.491.66 ▲
Double chanceMonarcas or draw89%1.121.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.801.66
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.271.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals57%1.761.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.551.40
Half-time resultMonarcas ahead at half-time50%2.00–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monarcas / FT Monarcas45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.32–

Recent results

Monarcas – last 6

WLWLDD
8 Novvs Venados FC2–1W
1 Nov@ Durango1–3L
26 Oct@ Tapatío2–1W
18 Octvs CDS Tampico Madero1–2L
10 Oct@ Tepatitlán1–1D
4 Octvs Tlaxcala1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Leones Negros UDG – last 6

WLWWLD
8 Novvs Durango2–1W
6 Nov@ Durango0–1L
1 Novvs Tepatitlán3–1W
25 Oct@ Mineros de Zacatecas2–0W
18 Octvs Alebrijes de Oaxaca1–2L
11 Oct@ Venados FC1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Sep 2026Monarcas v Leones Negros UDG2–0
5 Apr 2026Leones Negros UDG v Monarcas2–0
Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG?

Our tip is Monarcas to win (67% chance), priced at 1.66.

Who will win Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG?

Monarcas win 67% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Leones Negros UDG 11%.

How many goals will there be in Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG?

Around 3.0 goals on our projection – 57% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG?

Kings Odds predicts Monarcas 2–0 Leones Negros UDG. Total goals projected: 3.0.

When is Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG?

Monarcas vs Leones Negros UDG (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.