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Piratas vs CA La Paz prediction

PiratasDDDWW
1–1
FT xG 2.11 – 0.99
CA La PazDWWWD
Kings Odds prediction · missedHome 2–0Large
Best tipPiratas to win62% chance · @1.68
Goals3.1 expectedOver 2.5 59% · BTTS 61%
1 · Piratas1.6862% chanceX · Draw3.8822% chance2 · CA La Paz4.3016% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 07:24 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Lost ✗

Piratas to win

Good · fair odds 1.61

62%chance1.68odds5/10rating

Tips by market

ResultPiratas to win ✗62% · @1.68
Double chancePiratas or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%

Piratas vs CA La Paz prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Piratas vs CA La Paz. Competition: Liga De Expansión MX. Kick-off: Thursday 12 November, 01:00 WAT. Table check: Piratas are 4th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top four), CA La Paz 1st on 30 (top of the pile).

Current form

Piratas – last 5: DDDWW Latest result: they drew with Cancún 1–1 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. They are scoring 2.2 per game, which defences will respect.

CA La Paz – last 5: DWWWD Latest result: they drew with Tlaxcala 3–3 (home). Away form in that spell: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 2.7 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now.

Form edge: CA La Paz, with 2.3 points per game to 1.5.

Head to head

Previous meeting (15 Aug 2026): CA La Paz 2–0 Piratas.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Piratas 2.1 – 1.0 CA La Paz, about 3.1 in total. Goals look likely: over 2.5 at 59%, GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Piratas 62%, draw 22%, CA La Paz 16%.
  • Double chance option: Piratas or draw – 84% at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: yes – 61% at 1.56.

Our tip

Our pre-match tip was Piratas to win (62% chance, priced 1.68 – longer than our fair 1.61, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Piratas 2–0 CA La Paz. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Piratas62%fair 1.61 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.88
CA La Paz16%fair 6.30 · @4.30
3.10Expected goals
2.11Piratas xG
0.99CA La Paz xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%
2–110%
1–010%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Piratas 2.1 – 1.0 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPiratas to win ✗62%1.611.68
Double chancePiratas or draw ✓84%1.191.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.56
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.241.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.681.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.52
Half-time resultPiratas ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Piratas / FT Piratas ✗41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.07–

Recent results

Piratas – last 6

DDDWWL
9 Novvs Cancún1–1D
6 Nov@ Cancún1–1D
1 Novvs Tapatío1–1D
25 Oct@ Dorados5–0W
18 Octvs Tepatitlán3–0W
10 Oct@ Tlaxcala2–4L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

CA La Paz – last 6

DWWWDW
8 Novvs Tlaxcala3–3D
5 Nov@ Tlaxcala1–0W
31 Octvs Dorados3–0W
25 Oct@ CDS Tampico Madero3–1W
17 Octvs Tlaxcala2–2D
10 Oct@ Tapatío4–2W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Aug 2026CA La Paz v Piratas2–0
Piratas vs CA La Paz head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Piratas vs CA La Paz?

Our tip is Piratas to win (62% chance), priced at 1.68.

Who will win Piratas vs CA La Paz?

Piratas win 62% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, CA La Paz 16%.

How many goals will there be in Piratas vs CA La Paz?

Around 3.1 goals on our projection – 59% for over 2.5 and 61% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Piratas vs CA La Paz?

Kings Odds predicts Piratas 2–0 CA La Paz. Total goals projected: 3.1.

When is Piratas vs CA La Paz?

Piratas vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.