1 · CA La Paz2.3546% chanceX · Draw3.5816% chance2 · Piratas2.6238% chance
♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 07:24 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Under 3.5 goals
Good · fair odds 1.66
60%chance1.57odds5/10rating
Value
CA La Paz to win @ 2.35 – our chance 46% vs 43% in the price (edge +7%)
Tips by market
ResultCA La Paz to win46% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%
CA La Paz vs Piratas prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
CA La Paz v Piratas, Liga De Expansión MX – Sunday 15 November, 04:00 WAT at Estadio Guaycura. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. CA La Paz come in 1st with 30 points and Piratas 4th with 25 – one top of the pile, the other in the top four.
Current form
CA La Paz – last 5: DDWWW Latest result: they drew with Piratas 1–1 (away). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. 2.2 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now.
Piratas – last 5: DDDDW Latest result: they drew with CA La Paz 1–1 (home). They are scoring 2.0 per game, which defences will respect.
Head to head
Previous meeting (12 Nov 2026): Piratas 1–1 CA La Paz. Head-to-head over 2 games: CA La Paz 1, Piratas 0, draws 1 – 2.0 goals per game, GG in 1.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: CA La Paz 1.7 – 1.5 Piratas, about 3.2 in total. An open game is on the cards – 61% for 3+ goals and 57% for both teams scoring.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: CA La Paz 46%, draw 16%, Piratas 38%.
GG/NG: yes – 57% at 1.44.
Value angle: CA La Paz to win at 2.35 – our chance 46%, the price implies 43%.
Kings Odds tip
Ade Ola's call: Under 3.5 goals (60% chance, priced 1.57). Predicted score: CA La Paz 1–1 Piratas. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
CA La Paz46%fair 2.19 · @2.35
Draw16%fair 6.25 · @3.58
Piratas38%fair 2.61 · @2.62
3.16Expected goals
1.66CA La Paz xG
1.49Piratas xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: CA La Paz 1.7 – 1.5 Piratas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (60% chance), priced at 1.57.
Who will win CA La Paz vs Piratas?
CA La Paz win 46% of the time on our model, the draw 16%, Piratas 38%.
How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Piratas?
Around 3.2 goals on our projection – 61% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs Piratas?
Kings Odds predicts CA La Paz 1–1 Piratas. Total goals projected: 3.2.
When is CA La Paz vs Piratas?
CA La Paz vs Piratas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.