Mexico: Liga De Expansión MX· Estadio Guaycura Kick-off

CA La Paz vs Piratas prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.66 – 1.49
PiratasDDDDW
Kings Odds predictionHome 2–1Small
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals60% chance · @1.57
Goals3.2 expectedOver 2.5 61% · BTTS 57%
1 · CA La Paz2.3546% chanceX · Draw3.5816% chance2 · Piratas2.6238% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 07:24 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5 goals

Good · fair odds 1.66

60%chance1.57odds5/10rating
Value

CA La Paz to win @ 2.35 – our chance 46% vs 43% in the price (edge +7%)

Tips by market

ResultCA La Paz to win46% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%

CA La Paz vs Piratas prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

CA La Paz v Piratas, Liga De Expansión MX – Sunday 15 November, 04:00 WAT at Estadio Guaycura. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. CA La Paz come in 1st with 30 points and Piratas 4th with 25 – one top of the pile, the other in the top four.

Current form

CA La Paz – last 5: DDWWW Latest result: they drew with Piratas 1–1 (away). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. 2.2 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now.

Piratas – last 5: DDDDW Latest result: they drew with CA La Paz 1–1 (home). They are scoring 2.0 per game, which defences will respect.

Head to head

Previous meeting (12 Nov 2026): Piratas 1–1 CA La Paz. Head-to-head over 2 games: CA La Paz 1, Piratas 0, draws 1 – 2.0 goals per game, GG in 1.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: CA La Paz 1.7 – 1.5 Piratas, about 3.2 in total. An open game is on the cards – 61% for 3+ goals and 57% for both teams scoring.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: CA La Paz 46%, draw 16%, Piratas 38%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 57% at 1.44.
  • Value angle: CA La Paz to win at 2.35 – our chance 46%, the price implies 43%.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Under 3.5 goals (60% chance, priced 1.57). Predicted score: CA La Paz 1–1 Piratas. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

CA La Paz46%fair 2.19 · @2.35
Draw16%fair 6.25 · @3.58
Piratas38%fair 2.61 · @2.62
3.16Expected goals
1.66CA La Paz xG
1.49Piratas xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%

From our goals model: CA La Paz 1.7 – 1.5 Piratas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCA La Paz to win46%2.192.35 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win84%1.191.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.771.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals82%1.231.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals61%1.641.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals60%1.661.57
Half-time resultLevel at half-time38%2.60–
Half-time / full-timeHT CA La Paz / FT CA La Paz25%3.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.37–

Recent results

CA La Paz – last 6

DDWWWD
12 Nov@ Piratas1–1D
8 Novvs Tlaxcala3–3D
5 Nov@ Tlaxcala1–0W
31 Octvs Dorados3–0W
25 Oct@ CDS Tampico Madero3–1W
17 Octvs Tlaxcala2–2D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Piratas – last 6

DDDDWW
12 Novvs CA La Paz1–1D
9 Novvs Cancún1–1D
6 Nov@ Cancún1–1D
1 Novvs Tapatío1–1D
25 Oct@ Dorados5–0W
18 Octvs Tepatitlán3–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Nov 2026Piratas v CA La Paz1–1
15 Aug 2026CA La Paz v Piratas2–0
CA La Paz vs Piratas head-to-head page →

Liga De Expansión MX table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CA La Paz15933+1830
2Leones Negros UDG15933+1430
3Monarcas15825+726
4Piratas15744+1225
5Cancún15744+1025
6Venados FC15744+625
7Durango15735+624
8Tlaxcala15645+222
9Alebrijes de Oaxaca15717-1022
10Mineros de Zacatecas15537018
11Tapatío15537-318
12Correcaminos Uat15456-317
13Dorados15447-916
14CDS Tampico Madero15438-1015
15Cruz Azul Hidalgo15357-714
16Tepatitlán152112-337

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CA La Paz vs Piratas?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (60% chance), priced at 1.57.

Who will win CA La Paz vs Piratas?

CA La Paz win 46% of the time on our model, the draw 16%, Piratas 38%.

How many goals will there be in CA La Paz vs Piratas?

Around 3.2 goals on our projection – 61% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for CA La Paz vs Piratas?

Kings Odds predicts CA La Paz 1–1 Piratas. Total goals projected: 3.2.

When is CA La Paz vs Piratas?

CA La Paz vs Piratas (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Guaycura.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.