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Europe: UEFA Nations League· Estádio Municipal de Braga Kick-off

Portugal vs Denmark prediction

PortugalWWWWL
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 2.23 – 1.06
DenmarkWLWLD
Kings Odds predictionHome 2–1Large
Best tipOver 2.5 goals63% chance · @1.50
Goals3.3 expectedOver 2.5 63% · BTTS 59%
1 · Portugal1.5062% chanceX · Draw4.7522% chance2 · Denmark5.7516% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 06:23 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 2.5 goals

Good · fair odds 1.58

63%chance1.50odds6/10rating

Tips by market

ResultPortugal to win62% · @1.50
Double chancePortugal or draw84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%

Portugal vs Denmark prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Portugal v Denmark, UEFA Nations League – Saturday 14 November, 20:45 WAT at Estádio Municipal de Braga. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Table check: Portugal are 1st with 12 points from 4 games, Denmark 2nd on 6.

Current form

Portugal – last 5: WWWWL Latest result: they beat Norway 2–1 (home). Home form in that spell: 3 wins, 1 defeat in 4. 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Denmark – last 5: WLWLD Latest result: they beat Wales 1–0 (away). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Form edge: Portugal, with 2.5 points per game to 1.7.

Head to head

Previous meeting (1 Oct 2026): Denmark 2–4 Portugal.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Portugal 2.2 – 1.1 Denmark, about 3.3 in total. Goals look likely: over 2.5 at 63%, GG at 59%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Portugal 62%, draw 22%, Denmark 16%.
  • Double chance option: Portugal or draw – 84% at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: yes – 59% at 1.62.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Over 2.5 goals (63% chance, priced 1.50). Predicted score: Portugal 2–1 Denmark. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Portugal62%fair 1.60 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.75
Denmark16%fair 6.44 · @5.75
3.29Expected goals
2.23Portugal xG
1.06Denmark xG
59%Both score
63%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%

From our goals model: Portugal 2.2 – 1.1 Denmark expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortugal to win62%1.601.50
Double chancePortugal or draw84%1.181.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score59%1.691.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals83%1.201.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals63%1.581.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals58%1.731.62
Half-time resultPortugal ahead at half-time47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portugal / FT Portugal42%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.18–

Recent results

Portugal – last 6

WWWWLW
4 Octvs Norway2–1W
1 Oct@ Denmark4–2W
27 Sep@ Norway2–1W
24 Sepvs Wales1–0W
6 Julvs Spain0–1L
3 Julvs Croatia2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Denmark – last 6

WLWLDW
4 Oct@ Wales1–0W
1 Octvs Portugal2–4L
27 Sepvs Wales2–0W
24 Sep@ Norway2–3L
3 Jun@ Congo DR0–0D
26 Marvs FYR Macedonia4–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Oct 2026Denmark v Portugal2–4
Portugal vs Denmark head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal4400+512
2Denmark420206
3Wales4103-33
4Norway4103-23

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SwedenvBosnia & Herzegovina Large Home 2–0 U3.5@1.53 1.504.336.00

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portugal vs Denmark?

Our tip is Over 2.5 goals (63% chance), priced at 1.50.

Who will win Portugal vs Denmark?

Portugal win 62% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Denmark 16%.

How many goals will there be in Portugal vs Denmark?

Around 3.3 goals on our projection – 63% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Portugal vs Denmark?

Kings Odds predicts Portugal 2–1 Denmark. Total goals projected: 3.3.

When is Portugal vs Denmark?

Portugal vs Denmark (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Braga.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.