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Europe: UEFA Nations League· Windsor Park Kick-off

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction

Northern IrelandDWDWL
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.10 – 0.74
UkraineLLDWW
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Medium
Best tipUnder 2.5 goals68% chance · @1.48
Goals1.8 expectedOver 2.5 32% · BTTS 48%
1 · Northern Ireland2.4548% chanceX · Draw3.0023% chance2 · Ukraine3.2029% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 05:21 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 2.5 goals

Good · fair odds 1.47

68%chance1.48odds7/10rating
Value

Northern Ireland to win @ 2.45 – our chance 48% vs 41% in the price (edge +18%)

Tips by market

ResultNorthern Ireland to win48% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals85% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018%

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Northern Ireland vs Ukraine. Competition: UEFA Nations League. Kick-off: Saturday 14 November, 20:45 WAT. Ground: Windsor Park. Northern Ireland come in 1st with 8 points and Ukraine 3rd with 4.

Current form

Northern Ireland – last 5: DWDWL Latest result: they drew with Georgia 0–0 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded per game. 5 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Ukraine – last 5: LLDWW Latest result: they fell to Hungary 1–2 (home). Away form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up. 4 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Head to head

Previous meeting (2 Oct 2026): Ukraine 0–3 Northern Ireland.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Northern Ireland 1.1 – 0.7 Ukraine, about 1.8 in total. This shapes up as a tight one – under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Northern Ireland 48%, draw 23%, Ukraine 29%.
  • GG/NG: no – 52% at 1.67.
  • Value angle: Northern Ireland to win at 2.45 – our chance 48%, the price implies 41%.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Under 2.5 goals (68% chance, priced 1.48). Predicted score: Northern Ireland 1–0 Ukraine. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Northern Ireland48%fair 2.08 · @2.45
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.00
Ukraine29%fair 3.50 · @3.20
1.84Expected goals
1.10Northern Ireland xG
0.74Ukraine xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%

From our goals model: Northern Ireland 1.1 – 0.7 Ukraine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorthern Ireland to win48%2.082.45 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win77%1.301.36
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.941.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals59%1.701.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals68%1.471.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals85%1.181.17
Half-time resultLevel at half-time52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Northern Ireland / FT Northern Ireland25%4.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018%5.71–

Recent results

Northern Ireland – last 6

DWDWLW
5 Octvs Georgia0–0D
2 Oct@ Ukraine3–0W
28 Sepvs Hungary0–0D
25 Sep@ Georgia1–0W
8 Jun@ France1–3L
4 Junvs Guinea1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ukraine – last 6

LLDWWW
5 Octvs Hungary1–2L
2 Octvs Northern Ireland0–3L
28 Sep@ Georgia0–0D
25 Sep@ Hungary1–0W
31 May@ Poland2–0W
31 Marvs Albania1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Ukraine v Northern Ireland0–3
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Northern Ireland4220+48
2Hungary4211+17
3Ukraine4112-34
4Georgia4022-22

More UEFA Nations League predictions

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KosovovIsrael Large Home 1–0 1X@1.22 1.803.704.20
NorwayvWales Large Home 2–0 1@1.22 1.227.0010.00
GeorgiavHungary Small Away 0–1 U2.5@1.50 2.883.102.55
PortugalvDenmark Large Home 2–1 O2.5@1.50 1.504.755.75
AustriavRep. Of Ireland Large Home 2–0 O1.5@1.25 1.573.905.75
RomaniavPoland Medium Away 1–2 X2@1.25 3.904.001.83
SwedenvBosnia & Herzegovina Large Home 2–0 U3.5@1.53 1.504.336.00

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Our tip is Under 2.5 goals (68% chance), priced at 1.48.

Who will win Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Northern Ireland win 48% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, Ukraine 29%.

How many goals will there be in Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Around 1.8 goals on our projection – 32% for over 2.5 and 48% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Kings Odds predicts Northern Ireland 1–0 Ukraine. Total goals projected: 1.8.

When is Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.