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Peru: Primera División· Estadio Campeones del 36 Kick-off

Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar prediction

Alianza AtleticoLWWLL
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.24 – 1.64
FBC MelgarWLDWW
Kings Odds predictionAway 1–2Medium
Best tipOver 1.5 goals77% chance · @1.22
Goals2.9 expectedOver 2.5 55% · BTTS 59%
1 · Alianza Atletico3.2031% chanceX · Draw3.4020% chance2 · FBC Melgar2.0549% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 06:35 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.29

77%chance1.22odds8/10rating

Tips by market

ResultFBC Melgar to win49% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

The Primera División brings FBC Melgar to Alianza Atletico on Saturday 14 November – Estadio Campeones del 36 hosts, kick-off 22:00 WAT. Alianza Atletico come in 7th with 28 points and FBC Melgar 5th with 29 – one in the top half, the other in the top half. A gap of just 1 point – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

Alianza Atletico – last 5: LWWLL Latest result: they fell to FC Cajamarca 0–2 (away). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.

FBC Melgar – last 5: WLDWW Latest result: they beat Juan Pablo II College 2–1 (home). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

Previous meeting (31 May 2026): FBC Melgar 3–1 Alianza Atletico.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Alianza Atletico 1.2 – 1.6 FBC Melgar, about 2.9 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 55%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Alianza Atletico 31%, draw 20%, FBC Melgar 49%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 59% at 1.62.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Over 1.5 goals (77% chance, priced 1.22). Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 1–1 FBC Melgar. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Alianza Atletico31%fair 3.24 · @3.20
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.40
FBC Melgar49%fair 2.05 · @2.05
2.88Expected goals
1.24Alianza Atletico xG
1.64FBC Melgar xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–07%

From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.2 – 1.6 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFBC Melgar to win49%2.052.05
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.261.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score59%1.691.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals77%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals67%1.491.40
Half-time resultLevel at half-time40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT FBC Melgar / FT FBC Melgar28%3.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.68–

Recent results

Alianza Atletico – last 6

LWWLLW
7 Nov@ FC Cajamarca0–2L
31 Octvs Juan Pablo II College1–0W
28 Octvs Deportivo Garcilaso3–2W
24 Oct@ Sport Huancayo1–4L
18 Octvs Universitario1–4L
11 Oct@ Sport Boys3–1W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

FBC Melgar – last 6

WLDWWD
8 Novvs Juan Pablo II College2–1W
2 Nov@ Sport Huancayo0–2L
30 Octvs Comerciantes Unidos1–1D
23 Oct@ UTC Cajamarca2–1W
18 Octvs Deportivo Garcilaso4–2W
11 Oct@ Universitario2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026FBC Melgar v Alianza Atletico3–1
Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

League hub
Alianza LimavFC Cajamarca Large Home 2–0 GG@2.25 1.176.5013.00
UTC CajamarcavClub Deportivo Los Chankas Small Home 1–0 O1.5@1.23 2.553.102.70
CuscovADT Large Home 1–0 O1.5@1.20 1.504.155.60
UCV MoqueguavAtletico Grau Large Home 1–0 U3.5@1.25 1.583.745.40
Sport HuancayovUniversitario Small Away 0–1 O1.5@1.25 2.253.252.90
Sporting CristalvCienciano Large Home 2–1 GG@1.62 1.534.105.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (77% chance), priced at 1.22.

Who will win Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?

Alianza Atletico win 31% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, FBC Melgar 49%.

How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?

Around 2.9 goals on our projection – 55% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?

Kings Odds predicts Alianza Atletico 1–1 FBC Melgar. Total goals projected: 2.9.

When is Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?

Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.