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UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau prediction

UCV MoqueguaDDLLW
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.83 – 0.61
Atletico GrauWLLDL
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Large
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals75% chance · @1.25
Goals2.4 expectedOver 2.5 46% · BTTS 53%
1 · UCV Moquegua1.5867% chanceX · Draw3.7422% chance2 · Atletico Grau5.4012% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 05:31 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5 goals

Strong · fair odds 1.34

75%chance1.25odds8/10rating

Tips by market

ResultUCV Moquegua to win67% · @1.58
Double chanceUCV Moquegua or draw88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%

UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Atletico Grau are on the road in the Primera División on Saturday 14 November, visiting UCV Moquegua (Estadio 25 de Noviembre) at 22:00 WAT. Table check: UCV Moquegua are 17th with 12 points from 16 games (in the relegation places), Atletico Grau 11th on 21 (in the bottom half).

Current form

UCV Moquegua – last 5: DDLLW Latest result: they drew with Universitario 2–2 (away). Home form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.5 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Atletico Grau – last 5: WLLDL Latest result: they beat Cusco 3–0 (home). 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

Previous meeting (29 May 2026): Atletico Grau 1–0 UCV Moquegua.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: UCV Moquegua 1.8 – 0.6 Atletico Grau, about 2.4 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 46%, GG 53%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: UCV Moquegua 67%, draw 22%, Atletico Grau 12%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 53% at 1.94.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.25). Predicted score: UCV Moquegua 1–0 Atletico Grau. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

UCV Moquegua67%fair 1.50 · @1.58
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.74
Atletico Grau12%fair 8.52 · @5.40
2.44Expected goals
1.83UCV Moquegua xG
0.61Atletico Grau xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–09%

From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 1.8 – 0.6 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUCV Moquegua to win67%1.501.58 ▲
Double chanceUCV Moquegua or draw88%1.131.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.881.94
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.421.27
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.851.78
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.341.25
Half-time resultUCV Moquegua ahead at half-time46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT UCV Moquegua / FT UCV Moquegua42%2.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.23–

Recent results

UCV Moquegua – last 6

DDLLWL
9 Nov@ Universitario2–2D
1 Novvs Club Deportivo Los Chankas0–0D
28 Oct@ ADT0–2L
25 Octvs Alianza Lima0–1L
18 Oct@ FC Cajamarca1–0W
8 Octvs Cienciano0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Atletico Grau – last 6

WLLDLD
6 Novvs Cusco3–0W
1 Novvs Universitario1–3L
29 Oct@ Cienciano0–3L
23 Octvs ADT1–1D
18 Oct@ Alianza Lima1–3L
8 Octvs Club Deportivo Los Chankas0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 May 2026Atletico Grau v UCV Moquegua1–0
UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+246
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1232
16FC Cajamarca338718-1931
17UCV Moquegua337917-2130
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2019

More Primera División predictions

League hub
Alianza AtleticovFBC Melgar Medium Away 1–2 O1.5@1.22 3.203.402.05
Alianza LimavFC Cajamarca Large Home 2–0 GG@2.25 1.176.5013.00
UTC CajamarcavClub Deportivo Los Chankas Small Home 1–0 O1.5@1.23 2.553.102.70
CuscovADT Large Home 1–0 O1.5@1.20 1.504.155.60
Sport HuancayovUniversitario Small Away 0–1 O1.5@1.25 2.253.252.90
Sporting CristalvCienciano Large Home 2–1 GG@1.62 1.534.105.50

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (75% chance), priced at 1.25.

Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?

UCV Moquegua win 67% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Atletico Grau 12%.

How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 46% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?

Kings Odds predicts UCV Moquegua 1–0 Atletico Grau. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?

UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.