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Varesina vs Pontedera prediction

VaresinaLWDDD
Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 2.10 – 0.83
PontederaLWDLW
Kings Odds predictionHome 2–0Large
Best tipVaresina to win65% chance · @1.70
Goals2.9 expectedOver 2.5 55% · BTTS 56%
1 · Varesina1.7065% chanceX · Draw3.5523% chance2 · Pontedera4.2512% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 14 Nov 2026, 08:13 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Varesina to win

Good · fair odds 1.54

65%chance1.70odds6/10rating

Tips by market

ResultVaresina to win65% · @1.70
Double chanceVaresina or draw88% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79%
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%

Varesina vs Pontedera prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Varesina vs Pontedera. Competition: Serie D Girone D. Kick-off: Sunday 15 November, 14:30 WAT. Varesina come in 14th with 11 points and Pontedera 16th with 7 – one in the bottom half, the other in the relegation places.

Current form

Varesina – last 5: LWDDD Latest result: they fell to Coriano 1–2 (away). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Pontedera – last 5: LWDLW Latest result: they fell to Solbiatese 0–1 (home). Away form in that spell: 2 wins, 2 defeats in 4. 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Varesina 2.1 – 0.8 Pontedera, about 2.9 in total. An open game is on the cards – 55% for 3+ goals and 56% for both teams scoring.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Varesina 65%, draw 23%, Pontedera 12%.
  • Double chance option: Varesina or draw – 88% at 1.19.
  • GG/NG: yes – 56% at 1.76.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Varesina to win (65% chance, priced 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.54, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Varesina 2–0 Pontedera. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Varesina65%fair 1.54 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.55
Pontedera12%fair 8.43 · @4.25
2.93Expected goals
2.10Varesina xG
0.83Pontedera xG
56%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Varesina 2.1 – 0.8 Pontedera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVaresina to win65%1.541.70 ▲
Double chanceVaresina or draw88%1.131.19
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.781.76
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals55%1.831.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals66%1.51–
Half-time resultVaresina ahead at half-time48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Varesina / FT Varesina43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.24–

Recent results

Varesina – last 6

LWDDDD
8 Nov@ Coriano1–2L
1 Novvs Città di Varese3–1W
25 Oct@ Castellanzese1–1D
18 Octvs Pro Sesto0–0D
11 Oct@ Pavia2–2D
4 Octvs Pro Patria0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pontedera – last 6

LWDLWL
8 Novvs Solbiatese0–1L
1 Nov@ Arconatese4–3W
25 Octvs Oltrepò1–1D
18 Oct@ Crema1–4L
14 Oct@ Coriano2–1W
11 Oct@ Lentigione0–2L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Varesina and Pontedera.

Varesina vs Pontedera head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

League hub
ArconatesevCrema Small Away 0–1 O1.5@1.32 2.853.152.20
CorreggesevLentigione Medium Away 0–1 2@1.65 4.603.551.65
PaviavPro Sesto Small Away 0–1 GG@1.80 2.653.002.52
PistoiesevCoriano Large Home 2–0 1@1.25 1.254.909.25
Pro PatriavCastellanzese Large Home 1–0 1@1.61 1.613.484.70
USD CasatesevCittà di Varese Small Home 1–0 GG@1.83 1.983.303.30

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Varesina vs Pontedera?

Our tip is Varesina to win (65% chance), priced at 1.70.

Who will win Varesina vs Pontedera?

Varesina win 65% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, Pontedera 12%.

How many goals will there be in Varesina vs Pontedera?

Around 2.9 goals on our projection – 55% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Varesina vs Pontedera?

Kings Odds predicts Varesina 2–0 Pontedera. Total goals projected: 2.9.

When is Varesina vs Pontedera?

Varesina vs Pontedera (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.