Italy: Serie D Girone D Kick-off

Pavia vs Pro Sesto prediction

PaviaLWWLD
Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.24 – 1.28
Kings Odds predictionAway 0–1Small
Best tipUnder 2.5 goals53% chance · @1.72
Goals2.5 expectedOver 2.5 47% · BTTS 52%
1 · Pavia2.6538% chanceX · Draw3.0022% chance2 · Pro Sesto2.5240% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 09:11 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 2.5 goals

Fair · fair odds 1.88

53%chance1.72odds4/10rating

Tips by market

ResultPro Sesto to win40% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75%
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%

Pavia vs Pro Sesto prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Pavia v Pro Sesto, Serie D Girone D – Sunday 15 November, 14:30 WAT. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Pavia come in 12th with 14 points and Pro Sesto 6th with 18 – one in the bottom half, the other in the top half.

Current form

Pavia – last 5: LWWLD Latest result: they fell to Cittadella Vis Modena 1–2 (away). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 4. 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Pro Sesto – last 5: WLLDD Latest result: they beat Correggese 4–2 (home). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 1 defeat in 3. 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Pavia 1.2 – 1.3 Pro Sesto, about 2.5 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 47%, GG 52%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Pavia 38%, draw 22%, Pro Sesto 40%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 52% at 1.73.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Under 2.5 goals (53% chance, priced 1.72). Predicted score: Pavia 1–1 Pro Sesto. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Pavia38%fair 2.63 · @2.65
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.00
Pro Sesto40%fair 2.51 · @2.52
2.53Expected goals
1.24Pavia xG
1.28Pro Sesto xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%

From our goals model: Pavia 1.2 – 1.3 Pro Sesto expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPro Sesto to win40%2.512.52
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.32
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score52%1.921.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.39–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.881.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.33–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pro Sesto / FT Pro Sesto22%4.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%12.22–

Recent results

Pavia – last 6

LWWLDL
8 Nov@ Cittadella Vis Modena1–2L
1 Novvs Pro Patria1–0W
25 Octvs USD Casatese3–1W
18 Oct@ Pistoiese0–1L
11 Octvs Varesina2–2D
7 Octvs Sant'Angelo1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Pro Sesto – last 6

WLLDDD
8 Novvs Correggese4–2W
1 Nov@ USD Casatese0–1L
25 Octvs Sant'Angelo1–2L
18 Oct@ Varesina0–0D
11 Octvs Solbiatese1–1D
4 Oct@ Arconatese1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pavia and Pro Sesto.

Pavia vs Pro Sesto head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pavia vs Pro Sesto?

Our tip is Under 2.5 goals (53% chance), priced at 1.72.

Who will win Pavia vs Pro Sesto?

Pavia win 38% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Pro Sesto 40%.

How many goals will there be in Pavia vs Pro Sesto?

Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 47% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Pavia vs Pro Sesto?

Kings Odds predicts Pavia 1–1 Pro Sesto. Total goals projected: 2.5.

When is Pavia vs Pro Sesto?

Pavia vs Pro Sesto (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.