Italy: Serie D Girone D Kick-off

USD Casatese vs Città di Varese prediction

Sun 15 Nov 2026 xG 1.41 – 1.26
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Small
Best tipBoth teams to score59% chance · @1.69
Goals2.7 expectedOver 2.5 50% · BTTS 59%
1 · USD Casatese1.9843% chanceX · Draw3.3020% chance2 · Città di Varese3.3036% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 09:11 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Both teams to score

Good · fair odds 1.68

59%chance1.69odds5/10rating
Value

Città di Varese to win @ 3.30 – our chance 36% vs 30% in the price (edge +20%)

Tips by market

ResultUSD Casatese to win43% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75%
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%

USD Casatese vs Città di Varese prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

USD Casatese v Città di Varese, Serie D Girone D – Sunday 15 November, 14:30 WAT. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it. Table check: USD Casatese are 5th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top half), Città di Varese 11th on 14 (in the bottom half).

Current form

USD Casatese – last 5: WWLLW Latest result: they beat Castellanzese 1–0 (away). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Città di Varese – last 5: DLDWW Latest result: they drew with Sant'Angelo 2–2 (home). They are scoring 2.0 per game, which defences will respect.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: USD Casatese 1.4 – 1.3 Città di Varese, about 2.7 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 50%, GG 59%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: USD Casatese 43%, draw 20%, Città di Varese 36%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 59% at 1.69.
  • Value angle: Città di Varese to win at 3.30 – our chance 36%, the price implies 30%.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Both teams to score (59% chance, priced 1.69). Predicted score: USD Casatese 1–1 Città di Varese. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

USD Casatese43%fair 2.32 · @1.98
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @3.30
Città di Varese36%fair 2.75 · @3.30
2.68Expected goals
1.41USD Casatese xG
1.26Città di Varese xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: USD Casatese 1.4 – 1.3 Città di Varese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUSD Casatese to win43%2.321.98
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.261.27
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score59%1.681.69
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals50%2.001.82
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals72%1.39–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT USD Casatese / FT USD Casatese24%4.23–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.53–

Recent results

USD Casatese – last 6

WWLLWL
8 Nov@ Castellanzese1–0W
1 Novvs Pro Sesto1–0W
25 Oct@ Pavia1–3L
18 Octvs Pro Patria1–2L
11 Oct@ Cittadella Vis Modena1–0W
4 Octvs Pistoiese0–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Città di Varese – last 6

DLDWWL
8 Novvs Sant'Angelo2–2D
1 Nov@ Varesina1–3L
25 Octvs Solbiatese0–0D
18 Oct@ Arconatese5–1W
11 Octvs Oltrepò2–0W
7 Octvs Pro Patria2–5L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between USD Casatese and Città di Varese.

USD Casatese vs Città di Varese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for USD Casatese vs Città di Varese?

Our tip is Both teams to score (59% chance), priced at 1.69.

Who will win USD Casatese vs Città di Varese?

USD Casatese win 43% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Città di Varese 36%.

How many goals will there be in USD Casatese vs Città di Varese?

Around 2.7 goals on our projection – 50% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for USD Casatese vs Città di Varese?

Kings Odds predicts USD Casatese 1–1 Città di Varese. Total goals projected: 2.7.

When is USD Casatese vs Città di Varese?

USD Casatese vs Città di Varese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.