World: Friendlies· National Stadium Kick-off

Japan vs Brazil prediction

JapanWDWWL
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.35 – 1.74
BrazilWWDLW
Kings Odds predictionAway 1–2Medium
Best tipOver 1.5 goals80% chance · @1.20
Goals3.1 expectedOver 2.5 58% · BTTS 53%
1 · Japan3.7034% chanceX · Draw3.6016% chance2 · Brazil1.9050% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 08:00 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong · fair odds 1.25

80%chance1.20odds9/10rating
Value

Japan to win @ 3.70 – our chance 34% vs 27% in the price (edge +24%)

Tips by market

ResultBrazil to win50% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win84% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

Japan vs Brazil prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Brazil are on the road in the Friendlies on Saturday 14 November, visiting Japan (National Stadium) at 11:15 WAT.

Current form

Japan – last 5: WDWWL Latest result: they beat New Zealand 2–1 (home). Home form in that spell: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 5. 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Brazil – last 5: WWDLW Latest result: they beat India 4–0 (away). Away form in that spell: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 4. They are scoring 2.5 per game, which defences will respect.

Head to head

Previous meeting (29 Jun 2026): Brazil 2–1 Japan.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Japan 1.4 – 1.7 Brazil, about 3.1 in total. Goals look likely: over 2.5 at 58%, GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Japan 34%, draw 16%, Brazil 50%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 53% at 1.62.
  • Value angle: Japan to win at 3.70 – our chance 34%, the price implies 27%.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Over 1.5 goals (80% chance, priced 1.20). Predicted score: Japan 1–1 Brazil. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Japan34%fair 2.97 · @3.70
Draw16%fair 6.23 · @3.60
Brazil50%fair 1.99 · @1.90
3.09Expected goals
1.35Japan xG
1.74Brazil xG
53%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Japan 1.4 – 1.7 Brazil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBrazil to win50%1.991.90
Double chanceEither team to win84%1.191.28 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.881.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.251.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.721.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.571.44
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Brazil / FT Brazil28%3.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.76–

Recent results

Japan – last 6

WDWWLD
5 Octvs New Zealand2–1W
1 Octvs Ecuador0–0D
28 Sepvs Venezuela2–1W
24 Sepvs Uruguay3–1W
29 Jun@ Brazil1–2L
26 Junvs Sweden1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Brazil – last 6

WWDLWW
3 Oct@ India4–0W
29 Sep@ Australia4–2W
25 Sep@ Australia1–1D
5 Julvs Norway1–2L
29 Junvs Japan2–1W
24 Jun@ Scotland3–0W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Jun 2026Brazil v Japan2–1
Japan vs Brazil head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Japan vs Brazil?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (80% chance), priced at 1.20.

Who will win Japan vs Brazil?

Japan win 34% of the time on our model, the draw 16%, Brazil 50%.

How many goals will there be in Japan vs Brazil?

Around 3.1 goals on our projection – 58% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Japan vs Brazil?

Kings Odds predicts Japan 1–1 Brazil. Total goals projected: 3.1.

When is Japan vs Brazil?

Japan vs Brazil (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at National Stadium.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.