♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 08:48 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong · fair odds 1.28
78%chance1.22odds9/10rating
Tips by market
ResultEcuador to win72% · @1.20
Double chanceEither team to win87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score58% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–09%
Ecuador vs Costa Rica prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Ecuador v Costa Rica, Friendlies – Saturday 14 November, 01:00 WAT. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it.
Current form
Ecuador – last 5: DDLLW Latest result: they drew with Panama 1–1 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. A thin 0.5 goals per game – the goals have dried up.
Costa Rica – last 5: WWLLL Latest result: they beat Haiti 2–0 (home). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded per game.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Ecuador 2.2 – 0.8 Costa Rica, about 3.0 in total. An open game is on the cards – 56% for 3+ goals and 42% for both teams scoring.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: Ecuador 72%, draw 13%, Costa Rica 16%.
GG/NG: no – 58% at 1.44.
Kings Odds tip
Kings Odds tip: Over 1.5 goals (78% chance, priced 1.22). Predicted score: Ecuador 2–0 Costa Rica. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Ecuador72%fair 1.39 · @1.20
Draw13%fair 7.94 · @5.75
Costa Rica16%fair 6.41 · @10.00
3.01Expected goals
2.19Ecuador xG
0.82Costa Rica xG
42%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ecuador 2.2 – 0.8 Costa Rica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ecuador to win
72%
1.39
1.20
Double chance
Either team to win
87%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
58%
1.73
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.40
Half-time result
Ecuador ahead at half-time
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ecuador / FT Ecuador
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0
9%
11.54
–
Recent results
Ecuador – last 6
DDLLWD
5 Oct
vs Panama
1–1
D
1 Oct
@ Japan
0–0
D
24 Sep
@ South Korea
0–3
L
1 Jul
@ Mexico
0–2
L
25 Jun
vs Germany
2–1
W
21 Jun
vs Curaçao
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Costa Rica – last 6
WWLLLL
5 Oct
vs Haiti
2–0
W
2 Oct
@ Nicaragua
3–0
W
28 Sep
@ Haiti
0–2
L
25 Sep
vs Curaçao
3–4
L
10 Jun
@ England
0–3
L
31 Mar
vs Iran
0–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ecuador and Costa Rica.
Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (78% chance), priced at 1.22.
Who will win Ecuador vs Costa Rica?
Ecuador win 72% of the time on our model, the draw 13%, Costa Rica 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ecuador vs Costa Rica?
Around 3.0 goals on our projection – 56% for over 2.5 and 42% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Ecuador vs Costa Rica?
Kings Odds predicts Ecuador 2–0 Costa Rica. Total goals projected: 3.0.
When is Ecuador vs Costa Rica?
Ecuador vs Costa Rica (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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