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Wales: Welsh Cup· The Oval Kick-off

Caernarfon Town vs Holywell prediction

Caernarfon TownLLWWW
Fri 13 Nov 2026 xG 3.05 – 1.30
HolywellLLDLL
Kings Odds predictionHome 3–1Large
Best tipBoth teams to score64% chance · @1.96
Goals4.4 expectedOver 2.5 75% · BTTS 64%
1 · Caernarfon Town1.1072% chanceX · Draw6.4016% chance2 · Holywell17.0012% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 08:06 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Both teams to score

Good · fair odds 1.57

64%chance1.96odds6/10rating

Tips by market

ResultCaernarfon Town to win72% · @1.10
Double chanceCaernarfon Town or draw88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.96
GoalsOver 2.5 goals75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–18%

Caernarfon Town vs Holywell prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Caernarfon Town v Holywell, Welsh Cup – Friday 13 November, 20:45 WAT at The Oval. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it.

Current form

Caernarfon Town – last 5: LLWWW Latest result: they fell to Penybont 0–2 (away). 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Holywell – last 5: LLDLL Latest result: they fell to Airbus UK 2–3 (home). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. 1.3 scored and 3.3 conceded per game.

Form edge: Caernarfon Town, with 1.5 points per game to 0.3.

Head to head

Previous meeting (28 Aug 2026): Holywell 3–5 Caernarfon Town.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Caernarfon Town 3.1 – 1.3 Holywell, about 4.4 in total. Goals look likely: over 2.5 at 75%, GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Caernarfon Town 72%, draw 16%, Holywell 12%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 64% at 1.96.

Kings Odds tip

Our pick: Both teams to score (64% chance, priced 1.96 – longer than our fair 1.57, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Caernarfon Town 3–1 Holywell. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Caernarfon Town72%fair 1.39 · @1.10
Draw16%fair 6.27 · @6.40
Holywell12%fair 8.10 · @17.00
4.35Expected goals
3.05Caernarfon Town xG
1.30Holywell xG
64%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–18%
2–18%
3–06%
4–16%
2–06%
3–25%

From our goals model: Caernarfon Town 3.1 – 1.3 Holywell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCaernarfon Town to win72%1.391.10
Double chanceCaernarfon Town or draw88%1.141.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score64%1.571.96 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals90%1.111.06
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals75%1.331.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals57%1.741.78
Half-time resultCaernarfon Town ahead at half-time56%1.80–
Half-time / full-timeHT Caernarfon Town / FT Caernarfon Town50%1.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–18%12.61–

Recent results

Caernarfon Town – last 6

LLWWWL
6 Nov@ Penybont0–2L
30 Oct@ Airbus UK2–3L
23 Octvs Briton Ferry3–1W
17 Oct@ Flint Town United3–1W
9 Oct@ Haverfordwest County AFC2–1W
3 Octvs Barry Town0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Holywell – last 6

LLDLLD
6 Novvs Airbus UK2–3L
30 Oct@ Flint Town United0–5L
17 Oct@ Llay Miners Welfare3–3D
9 Octvs The New Saints1–6L
3 Oct@ Ammanford AFC1–2L
26 Sepvs Briton Ferry1–1D
1.3Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Aug 2026Holywell v Caernarfon Town3–5
Caernarfon Town vs Holywell head-to-head page →

More Welsh Cup predictions

League hub
Baglan DragonsvBarry Town Large Away 1–2 O2.5@1.20 6.004.901.33
PenybontvCardiff Draconians Large Home 3–1 GG@1.85 1.068.3017.00
The New SaintsvBriton Ferry Large Home 2–1 O2.5@1.28 1.126.5013.00

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs Holywell?

Our tip is Both teams to score (64% chance), priced at 1.96.

Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Holywell?

Caernarfon Town win 72% of the time on our model, the draw 16%, Holywell 12%.

How many goals will there be in Caernarfon Town vs Holywell?

Around 4.4 goals on our projection – 75% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Caernarfon Town vs Holywell?

Kings Odds predicts Caernarfon Town 3–1 Holywell. Total goals projected: 4.4.

When is Caernarfon Town vs Holywell?

Caernarfon Town vs Holywell (Welsh Cup) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.