♛Analysis by Ade Ola · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 08:34 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Both teams to score
Good · fair odds 1.67
60%chance1.85odds5/10rating
Tips by market
ResultPenybont to win78% · @1.06
Double chancePenybont or draw94%
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.85
GoalsOver 2.5 goals83%
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–18%
Penybont vs Cardiff Draconians prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Cardiff Draconians are on the road in the Welsh Cup on Friday 13 November, visiting Penybont (Bryntirion Park) at 20:45 WAT.
Current form
Penybont – last 5: WWWWL Latest result: they beat Caernarfon Town 2–0 (home). Home form in that spell: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 2.5 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now.
Cardiff Draconians – last 5: LWLWD Latest result: they fell to Swansea University 0–2 (away). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Form edge: Penybont, with 2.5 points per game to 1.3.
Goals outlook
Kings Odds expected goals: Penybont 3.4 – 1.1 Cardiff Draconians, about 4.5 in total. An open game is on the cards – 83% for 3+ goals and 60% for both teams scoring.
Our pick: Both teams to score (60% chance, priced 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.67, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Penybont 3–1 Cardiff Draconians. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Penybont78%fair 1.28 · @1.06
Draw16%fair 6.44 · @8.30
Cardiff Draconians6%fair 15.62 · @17.00
4.50Expected goals
3.39Penybont xG
1.11Cardiff Draconians xG
60%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
3–07%
2–17%
4–17%
2–06%
4–06%
From our goals model: Penybont 3.4 – 1.1 Cardiff Draconians expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penybont to win
78%
1.28
1.06
Double chance
Penybont or draw
94%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.52
Half-time result
Penybont ahead at half-time
62%
1.62
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penybont / FT Penybont
58%
1.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1
8%
12.49
–
Recent results
Penybont – last 6
WWWWLW
6 Nov
vs Caernarfon Town
2–0
W
31 Oct
@ Cardiff MET
5–0
W
18 Oct
@ Afan Lido
3–2
W
9 Oct
vs Barry Town
3–1
W
3 Oct
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–1
L
26 Sep
vs Airbus UK
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cardiff Draconians – last 6
LWLWDD
7 Nov
@ Swansea University
0–2
L
31 Oct
vs Afan Lido
2–0
W
23 Oct
@ Trethomas Bluebirds
1–3
L
17 Oct
@ Radnor Valley
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Carmarthen Town
2–2
D
3 Oct
vs Newport City
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penybont and Cardiff Draconians.
Penybont vs Cardiff Draconians (Welsh Cup) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Bryntirion Park.
Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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