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England: FA Trophy Kick-off

Alfreton Town vs Southport prediction

Alfreton TownLLWWD
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.30 – 1.76
SouthportLLDLL
Kings Odds predictionAway 1–2Medium
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals62% chance · @1.48
Goals3.1 expectedOver 2.5 59% · BTTS 55%
1 · Alfreton Town2.4732% chanceX · Draw3.5216% chance2 · Southport2.3352% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 08:04 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5 goals

Good · fair odds 1.61

62%chance1.48odds5/10rating
Value

Southport to win @ 2.33 – our chance 52% vs 43% in the price (edge +21%)

Tips by market

ResultSouthport to win52% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.46
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.13
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

Alfreton Town vs Southport prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Alfreton Town vs Southport. Competition: FA Trophy. Kick-off: Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Alfreton Town – last 5: LLWWD Latest result: they fell to Workington 0–3 (away). A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Southport – last 5: LLDLL Latest result: they fell to South Shields 1–5 (away). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.7 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Form edge: Alfreton Town, with 1.3 points per game to 0.3.

Head to head

Previous meeting (17 Mar 2026): Southport 2–1 Alfreton Town.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Alfreton Town 1.3 – 1.8 Southport, about 3.1 in total. Goals look likely: over 2.5 at 59%, GG at 55%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Alfreton Town 32%, draw 16%, Southport 52%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 55% at 1.46.
  • Value angle: Southport to win at 2.33 – our chance 52%, the price implies 43%.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Under 3.5 goals (62% chance, priced 1.48). Predicted score: Alfreton Town 1–1 Southport. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Alfreton Town32%fair 3.11 · @2.47
Draw16%fair 6.29 · @3.52
Southport52%fair 1.92 · @2.33
3.06Expected goals
1.30Alfreton Town xG
1.76Southport xG
55%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Alfreton Town 1.3 – 1.8 Southport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouthport to win52%1.922.33 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win84%1.191.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.831.46
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals81%1.241.13
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals59%1.681.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals62%1.611.48
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Southport / FT Southport29%3.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.59–

Recent results

Alfreton Town – last 6

LLWWDD
10 Nov@ Workington0–3L
6 Nov@ Quorn0–4L
31 Octvs AFC Emley2–1W
24 Oct@ Mickleover Sports2–1W
17 Octvs Warrington Town1–1D
13 Oct@ Ashton United0–0D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Southport – last 6

LLDLLD
7 Nov@ South Shields1–5L
31 Octvs AFC Telford United1–2L
24 Oct@ King's Lynn Town0–0D
17 Octvs Radcliffe0–2L
10 Oct@ Harborough Town0–1L
26 Sepvs Spennymoor Town2–2D
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026Southport v Alfreton Town2–1
Alfreton Town vs Southport head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Alfreton Town vs Southport?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (62% chance), priced at 1.48.

Who will win Alfreton Town vs Southport?

Alfreton Town win 32% of the time on our model, the draw 16%, Southport 52%.

How many goals will there be in Alfreton Town vs Southport?

Around 3.1 goals on our projection – 59% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Alfreton Town vs Southport?

Kings Odds predicts Alfreton Town 1–1 Southport. Total goals projected: 3.1.

When is Alfreton Town vs Southport?

Alfreton Town vs Southport (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.