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England: FA Trophy· Victory Park Kick-off

Chorley vs Buxton prediction

ChorleyLLWLD
Sat 14 Nov 2026 xG 1.27 – 1.76
BuxtonDWWWD
Kings Odds predictionAway 1–2Medium
Best tipBuxton to win53% chance · @2.22
Goals3.0 expectedOver 2.5 58% · BTTS 57%
1 · Chorley2.5932% chanceX · Draw3.5416% chance2 · Buxton2.2253% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 07:51 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Buxton to win

Fair · fair odds 1.90

53%chance2.22odds4/10rating

Tips by market

ResultBuxton to win53% · @2.22
Double chanceEither team to win84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.49
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%

Chorley vs Buxton prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Chorley v Buxton, FA Trophy – Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT at Victory Park. Here is how the Kings Odds model sees it.

Current form

Chorley – last 5: LLWLD Latest result: they fell to Hereford 1–2 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 4. 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.

Buxton – last 5: DWWWD Latest result: they drew with Scarborough Athletic 2–2 (away). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 2.3 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now.

Form edge: Buxton, with 1.8 points per game to 1.2.

Head to head

Previous meeting (24 Oct 2026): Chorley 2–3 Buxton.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Chorley 1.3 – 1.8 Buxton, about 3.0 in total. Goals look likely: over 2.5 at 58%, GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Chorley 32%, draw 16%, Buxton 53%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 57% at 1.49.

Kings Odds tip

Ade Ola's call: Buxton to win (53% chance, priced 2.22 – longer than our fair 1.90, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Chorley 1–2 Buxton. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Chorley32%fair 3.17 · @2.59
Draw16%fair 6.31 · @3.54
Buxton53%fair 1.90 · @2.22
3.03Expected goals
1.27Chorley xG
1.76Buxton xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Chorley 1.3 – 1.8 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBuxton to win53%1.902.22 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win84%1.191.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.761.49
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.251.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.711.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.571.43
Half-time resultLevel at half-time39%2.56–
Half-time / full-timeHT Buxton / FT Buxton30%3.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.53–

Recent results

Chorley – last 6

LLWLDW
7 Novvs Hereford1–2L
31 Oct@ Spennymoor Town0–2L
27 Oct@ Radcliffe3–0W
24 Octvs Buxton2–3L
17 Octvs Worcester City1–1D
10 Octvs AFC Telford United2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Buxton – last 6

DWWWDL
7 Nov@ Scarborough Athletic2–2D
31 Octvs Marine4–2W
27 Octvs Harborough Town3–0W
24 Oct@ Chorley3–2W
17 Octvs Worksop Town2–2D
10 Oct@ King's Lynn Town0–1L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Oct 2026Chorley v Buxton2–3
Chorley vs Buxton head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chorley vs Buxton?

Our tip is Buxton to win (53% chance), priced at 2.22.

Who will win Chorley vs Buxton?

Chorley win 32% of the time on our model, the draw 16%, Buxton 53%.

How many goals will there be in Chorley vs Buxton?

Around 3.0 goals on our projection – 58% for over 2.5 and 57% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Chorley vs Buxton?

Kings Odds predicts Chorley 1–2 Buxton. Total goals projected: 3.0.

When is Chorley vs Buxton?

Chorley vs Buxton (FA Trophy) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Victory Park.

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.