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Europe: UEFA Nations League Kick-off

Wales vs Portugal prediction

WalesLWLLL
Tue 17 Nov 2026 xG 0.97 – 2.06
PortugalWWWWL
Kings Odds predictionAway 0–2Large
Best tipBoth teams to score60% chance · @1.68
Goals3.0 expectedOver 2.5 62% · BTTS 60%
1 · Wales8.1519% chanceX · Draw5.5916% chance2 · Portugal1.2865% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 04:36 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Both teams to score

Good · fair odds 1.68

60%chance1.68odds5/10rating

Tips by market

ResultPortugal to win65% · @1.28
Double chanceEither team to win84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.68
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81%
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%

Wales vs Portugal prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

The UEFA Nations League brings Portugal to Wales on Tuesday 17 November, kick-off 20:45 WAT. Table check: Wales are 3rd with 3 points from 4 games, Portugal 1st on 12.

Current form

Wales – last 5: LWLLL Latest result: they fell to Denmark 0–1 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. A thin 0.7 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Portugal – last 5: WWWWL Latest result: they beat Norway 2–1 (home). 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Form edge: Portugal, with 2.5 points per game to 0.7.

Head to head

Previous meeting (24 Sep 2026): Portugal 1–0 Wales.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Wales 1.0 – 2.1 Portugal, about 3.0 in total. Goals look likely: over 2.5 at 62%, GG at 60%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Wales 19%, draw 16%, Portugal 65%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 60% at 1.68.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Both teams to score (60% chance, priced 1.68). Predicted score: Wales 1–2 Portugal. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Wales19%fair 5.25 · @8.15
Draw16%fair 6.18 · @5.59
Portugal65%fair 1.54 · @1.28
3.03Expected goals
0.97Wales xG
2.06Portugal xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Wales 1.0 – 2.1 Portugal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPortugal to win65%1.541.28
Double chanceEither team to win84%1.191.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.681.68
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals62%1.611.39
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals60%1.661.63
Half-time resultPortugal ahead at half-time46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Portugal / FT Portugal40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.06–

Recent results

Wales – last 6

LWLLLD
4 Octvs Denmark0–1L
1 Octvs Norway2–1W
27 Sep@ Denmark0–2L
24 Sep@ Portugal0–1L
6 Jun@ Romania1–2L
2 Junvs Ghana1–1D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Portugal – last 6

WWWWLW
4 Octvs Norway2–1W
1 Oct@ Denmark4–2W
27 Sep@ Norway2–1W
24 Sepvs Wales1–0W
6 Julvs Spain0–1L
3 Julvs Croatia2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Sep 2026Portugal v Wales1–0
Wales vs Portugal head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal4400+512
2Denmark420206
3Wales4103-33
4Norway4103-23

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
DenmarkvNorway Small Home 2–1 GG@1.42 2.393.922.39
UkrainevGeorgia Small Home 1–0 U3.5@1.26 2.393.492.58
HungaryvNorthern Ireland Medium Home 1–0 U2.5@1.52 1.833.384.11
IsraelvAustria Medium Away 0–1 2@1.65 4.264.111.65
Rep. Of IrelandvKosovo Large Home 1–0 1@1.87 1.873.393.92
PolandvSweden Small Away 1–2 GG@1.52 2.283.742.59
Bosnia & HerzegovinavRomania Medium Home 1–0 O1.5@1.25 1.723.714.27

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Wales vs Portugal?

Our tip is Both teams to score (60% chance), priced at 1.68.

Who will win Wales vs Portugal?

Wales win 19% of the time on our model, the draw 16%, Portugal 65%.

How many goals will there be in Wales vs Portugal?

Around 3.0 goals on our projection – 62% for over 2.5 and 60% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Wales vs Portugal?

Kings Odds predicts Wales 1–2 Portugal. Total goals projected: 3.0.

When is Wales vs Portugal?

Wales vs Portugal (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.