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Ukraine vs Georgia prediction

UkraineLLDWW
Tue 17 Nov 2026 xG 1.10 – 0.95
GeorgiaDLDLW
Kings Odds predictionHome 1–0Small
Best tipUnder 3.5 goals79% chance · @1.26
Goals2.1 expectedOver 2.5 42% · BTTS 55%
1 · Ukraine2.3944% chanceX · Draw3.4920% chance2 · Georgia2.5836% chance
Analysis by · Kings OddsUpdated 13 Nov 2026, 04:35 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong · fair odds 1.27

79%chance1.26odds9/10rating
Value

Under 2.5 goals @ 1.89 – our chance 58% vs 53% in the price (edge +10%)

Tips by market

ResultUkraine to win44% · @2.39
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17%

Ukraine vs Georgia prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Ukraine vs Georgia. Competition: UEFA Nations League. Kick-off: Tuesday 17 November, 20:45 WAT. Table check: Ukraine are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, Georgia 4th on 2. A gap of just 2 points – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

Ukraine – last 5: LLDWW Latest result: they fell to Hungary 1–2 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up. 4 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Georgia – last 5: DLDLW Latest result: they drew with Northern Ireland 0–0 (away). A thin 0.5 goals per game – the goals have dried up. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Form edge: Ukraine, with 1.7 points per game to 1.0.

Head to head

Previous meeting (28 Sep 2026): Georgia 0–0 Ukraine.

Goals outlook

Kings Odds expected goals: Ukraine 1.1 – 0.9 Georgia, about 2.1 in total. This shapes up as a tight one – under 2.5 at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Ukraine 44%, draw 20%, Georgia 36%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 55% at 1.68.
  • Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.89 – our chance 58%, the price implies 53%.

Kings Odds tip

Kings Odds tip: Under 3.5 goals (79% chance, priced 1.26). Predicted score: Ukraine 1–0 Georgia. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Ukraine44%fair 2.27 · @2.39
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.49
Georgia36%fair 2.79 · @2.58
2.05Expected goals
1.10Ukraine xG
0.95Georgia xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–013%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%

From our goals model: Ukraine 1.1 – 0.9 Georgia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUkraine to win44%2.272.39 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win80%1.251.21
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.811.68
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.481.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals58%1.721.89 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.271.26
Half-time resultLevel at half-time49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ukraine / FT Ukraine22%4.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–17%13.47–

Recent results

Ukraine – last 6

LLDWWW
5 Octvs Hungary1–2L
2 Octvs Northern Ireland0–3L
28 Sep@ Georgia0–0D
25 Sep@ Hungary1–0W
31 May@ Poland2–0W
31 Marvs Albania1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Georgia – last 6

DLDLWD
5 Oct@ Northern Ireland0–0D
2 Oct@ Hungary0–1L
28 Sepvs Ukraine0–0D
25 Sepvs Northern Ireland0–1L
5 Junvs Bahrain2–0W
2 Junvs Romania1–1D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Sep 2026Georgia v Ukraine0–0
Ukraine vs Georgia head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Northern Ireland4220+48
2Hungary4211+17
3Ukraine4112-34
4Georgia4022-22

More UEFA Nations League predictions

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DenmarkvNorway Small Home 2–1 GG@1.42 2.393.922.39
HungaryvNorthern Ireland Medium Home 1–0 U2.5@1.52 1.833.384.11
IsraelvAustria Medium Away 0–1 2@1.65 4.264.111.65
Rep. Of IrelandvKosovo Large Home 1–0 1@1.87 1.873.393.92
PolandvSweden Small Away 1–2 GG@1.52 2.283.742.59
Bosnia & HerzegovinavRomania Medium Home 1–0 O1.5@1.25 1.723.714.27

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ukraine vs Georgia?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (79% chance), priced at 1.26.

Who will win Ukraine vs Georgia?

Ukraine win 44% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Georgia 36%.

How many goals will there be in Ukraine vs Georgia?

Around 2.1 goals on our projection – 42% for over 2.5 and 55% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Ukraine vs Georgia?

Kings Odds predicts Ukraine 1–0 Georgia. Total goals projected: 2.1.

When is Ukraine vs Georgia?

Ukraine vs Georgia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Kings Odds's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.